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Rice - Market Outlook

See the latest Rice Outlook report.

U.S. 2025/26 Rice Production Forecast Is Lowered 4.9 Million Hundredweight to 214.4 Million

There are several revisions this month to the U.S. 2025/26 rice balance sheet. On the supply side, production is lowered 4.9 million hundredweight (cwt) to 214.4 million, a result of a smaller harvested-area forecast. Harvested area is lowered 70,000 acres to 2.768 million, based on excessive rainfall in the Delta not fully offset by expanded plantings in California. Imports are raised 0.5 million cwt to a record 50.7 million, with medium- and short-grain accounting for all of the upward revision. The 2025/26 carryin is raised 0.5 million cwt to 45.5 million. On balance, these supply-side revisions result in a 2.9-million-cwt reduction in the 2025/26 total supply forecast to 310.6 million cwt, still a record high.