Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area
- by David Boussios, Sharon Raszap Skorbiansky and Matthew MacLachlan
- 2/10/2021
Overview
This report analyzes the accuracy of the historical baseline projections for U.S. corn, soybean, and wheat harvested area for the period from 1997 to 2017. The report finds that statistical modeling approaches have the potential to improve the performance of USDA’s baseline projections.
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